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Peter Orsag, CEO of Lazard Financial Consultant: Geopolitical concerns are bringing more downside risks.The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)Turkish President Erdogan: We have reached a joint memorandum with Ethiopia and Somalia.

Brazilian President Lula will undergo surgery again on the 12th. On the 11th local time, according to the latest announcement issued by the hospital, Brazilian President Lula will undergo surgery again on the morning of the 12th local time. Earlier in the day, the Syrian-Lebanese Hospital in Sao Paulo, Brazil released the latest report, saying that President Lula is "conscious and clear-headed, and can have a normal conversation". At present, a drainage tube is still placed at Lula's surgical site, waiting for further examination. Lula had no postoperative complications and was in good condition. On the evening of the 9th local time, Lula was sent to this hospital for surgery due to intracranial hemorrhage.NASDAQ China Golden Dragon Index closed down 0.74%, NASDAQ China Golden Dragon Index closed down 0.74%, most popular Chinese stocks fell, Tencent Music fell more than 5%, JD.COM fell more than 3%, Xpeng Motors fell more than 2%, and Bali, Weilai and Pinduoduo fell more than 1%. In terms of gains, Tiger Securities rose more than 3%, while Youdao and Gaotu rose more than 1%.Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."

The scale is 3 billion yuan! Zhengzhou Investment and Education Fund was put on record. On December 11th, Zhengzhou High-tech Zone's first fund to support the investment promotion of major projects-"Zhengzhou Investment and Education Equity Investment Fund" was put on record in asset management association of china, with a scale of 3 billion yuan, with Zhengzhou High-tech Industry Investment Fund Co., Ltd. as the fund manager (GP). (Dahe Finance Cube)Peter Orsag, CEO of Lazard Financial Advisor, said that we should be encouraged by the key figures appointed by the president.The CEO of Bank of America said that the sales and trading business is expected to hit a new high in the fourth quarter, and the income of investment banking business jumped. Brian Moynihan, CEO of Bank of America, said that the quarterly income of the bank's investment banking business is expected to increase by at least 25% year-on-year, and the sales and trading business is expected to hit a new high. Moynihan said at the Goldman Sachs Financial Services Conference on Wednesday that with the "continuous growth" of transactions, the investment banking revenue in the fourth quarter may exceed $1.4 billion. Analysts had expected that the investment banking revenue of the second largest bank in the United States would be close to $1.5 billion, equivalent to an increase of about 27%. At the same time, Moynihan said that the sales and trading business should once again record year-on-year growth, achieving medium-to-high single-digit growth in the last quarter of this year. Analysts predict that market revenue will increase by 8.2% to $4.06 billion. The business led by Jim DeMare "has reached a higher level, but we will set a record in the fourth quarter, so we feel good," Moynihan said.